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Key takeaways
- The federal funds rate impacts how expensive it is for lenders to loan money, so consumer loan rates typically change when the federal funds rate changes.
- During the Federal Open Market Committee’s October meeting, the regulatory body announced it would drop the target rate by a quarter of a percentage point, its second such drop in a row.
- Current personal loan rate trends and the FOMC’s decision to hold rates steady both suggest there won’t be a major drop in personal loan interest rates in the near future.
The fed funds benchmark rate impacts how much it costs for lenders to loan money, so it influences rates on consumer loans — including personal loans. The Federal Open Market Committee dropped the target rate to 3.75-4 percent in October 2025, its second quarter-percentage-point cut in a row. Personal loan rates for new borrowers are likely to slowly decline following this move.
The cut defies stubbornly high inflation in an attempt to protect the job market, even though the FOMC lacks access to key decision-driving data like the September jobs report.
“[Fed chair Jeremy Powell is] trying to land this plane to get that middle ground of keeping the economy chuggling along but having to accept a little bit more inflation,” Uk-Sun Kim, head of credit originations at TD Bank, told Bankrate before the decision. “It’s like trying to do heart surgery with a butter knife.”
How does the Fed affect personal loans?
The federal funds rate influences the interest rates lenders offer to new borrowers because it impacts lenders’ costs. When the rate is high, lending is more expensive. As the Fed introduced rate hikes throughout 2022 and 2023, the average personal loan rate also increased.
Even after two consecutive rate cuts in 2025, the industry average remains near historic highs. The FOMC’s October decision to cut rates by the quarter of a percentage point is unlikely to significantly budge the needle.
How the Fed impacts existing loans
The vast majority of personal loans are fixed-rate loans, meaning the interest rate remains unchanged from origination to when it’s paid off. Borrowers with a fixed-rate personal loan will not see changes to their interest rate or monthly payments when the Fed raises or lowers rates.
That means if you lock in a low-interest fixed-rate personal loan, it won’t change based on the federal rate.
Will personal loan interest rates start to decrease?
The short answer is that they should — but it will take time, and borrowers with good to excellent credit will be the first to benefit. Some consumer loan rates have already ticked downward ahead of the cuts, including mortgage rates.
Mark Hamrick, Bankrate senior economic analyst and Washington bureau chief, noted that the September rate cut was likely to be the first in a “steady drumbeat of cuts” from late 2024 to early 2025.
“Because rates edged moved so high in response to historically high inflation, it will take some time to unwind much of that,” Hamrick says. “As a result, borrowing rates will take some time to edge meaningfully lower as well.”
How can you get an affordable loan despite high interest rates?
Personal loan interest rates are currently high, but the federal rate is not the only factor affecting your loan’s cost. You can take several steps to help get the best deal possible, including improving your credit score and applying with a co-borrower.
Here are some of the steps you can take to get the best deal possible on your personal loan:
Bottom line
Because personal loans are fixed-interest products, current borrowers will not be affected by the Fed’s rate changes. While interest rates on new loans are unlikely to plummet soon, new borrowers can still qualify for competitive rates by improving their credit and shopping for the best deals. If rates do cool, borrowers with good and excellent credit who took out loans when rates were at their peak should consider refinancing their personal loans.
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